“The 2017 Revolution”
Richard W. Symonds
Monday – June 12 2017
Theresa May appears to be in psychological denial about political realities. She would be better advised by a Bunch of Psychiatrists than a Cabinet of Nobodies.
The Queen cannot refuse permission to form a government from Theresa May IF the latter had the required number of seats to make up a majority. Theresa May did NOT have the required number of seats on Friday June 9 2017. Therefore, the Queen could not have granted May permission to form a government last Friday
It would appear from the Cabinet Manual* that the Queen can invite the incumbent Prime Minister to form a minority government, or a coalition [Page 17 Para 2.30]. The powers of such governments are limited by convention [Paras 2.27-2.29].
It would also appear that without an overall majority, governments need “…to command the confidence of the House of Commons…” before embarking on “new action” of a “long-term character” [eg Brexit].
Also, it seems the Queen does not need to concern herself about the size of anyone’s majority, or minority. The onus is on the new government to “…to command the confidence of the House of Commons…”
Theresa May does not have the confidence of her own party, let alone the House of Commons…and still less the Electorate
So, it would appear Theresa May’s position is untenable, and I’d be surprised if she is at No 10 Downing Street by this Friday – except to collect her belongings.
[* “Managing the new Parliament: Some Challenges for Theresa May’s Minority Government” – The Constitution Unity – UCL – written June 9 2017]
As I see it, the only card left for the Tory Party to play is David Cameron – MP or not. He resigned over the Referendum, but the political [and social/cultural] landscape of Britain has changed dramatically – and so has the mood and will of its people. It would come as no surprise to me if the likes of Lord Heseltine was knocking on Cameron’s door asking him to return as the Conservative Prime Minister. But would Cameron even answer the door to the offer of a ‘poisoned chalice’?
There must be a number of Tory ‘grandees’ spluttering in their sherry glasses in their London club at the moment. To say the Tory party is now in a complete mess would be a very serious understatement. I would go along with what Georgia Goodwin has said yesterday:
“From my understanding, although I may be wrong, May cannot go into a coalition with DUP as it’s breaking the Good Friday Agreement by showing favouritism to one side of NI. Using DUP for an agreement to help her run the country was something I also thought should have been stopped due to the Good Friday Agreement.
Corbyn can, and is going to, meet with the Queen and ask for her permission for him to run a minority government because with it being hung, it means both parties can try….That said, the Queen CAN grant May permission to form a government, it would just be a minority government. The same thing JC is going for”
I sense we might be witnessing – and being part of – what might be called “The 2017 Revolution” [remember the book by Harrington & Young “The 1945 Revolution?]. Events might turn out to be even more dramatic than 1945. If there is any truth to the above, then it will be ‘We, the People’ who will be deciding the next General Election date – nobody else – probably before Autumn this year if there is a serious constitutional crisis.
It is difficult to interpret the Cabinet Manual [Ch 2], but without any one party achieving an overall majority [326 seats], it seems the Queen will ultimately decide who will be invited to form a Minority Government – either Theresa May or Jeremy Corbyn.
The Queen will act as final arbiter, asking herself one primary question:
Who will command the greatest confidence of the House of Commons – Mr Corbyn or Mrs May?
It’s the Queen’s call it seems to me.
My biggest fear is that Royal Prerogative(s) will be imposed – the kind which allowed ‘Bliar’ to go to war without Parliamentary approval etc. Most of the Prerogatives appear to be democratic obscenities – like the DUP – introduced and imposed especially if there is a People’s Revolution to stamp out.
Such Prerogatives seem to be implemented covertly, so the People only get wind of it when they can do nothing about it. It is extraordinary the lengths ‘Power Systems’ will go to undermine a burgeoning social movement, and silence the likes of Corbyn. I do hope the Establishment – in all its different guises – chooses not to go down this dangerous, unpredictable path.
Another Election needs to be called sooner rather than later.
Because of the Brexit negotiations coming up, requiring the stability to negotiate strongly with Europe.
Theresa May has proved weak and unstable, and is living as a ‘squatter’ at No 10 – soon to be evicted. She has no power to control. She has no mandate to govern. Her manifesto is cut to pieces. She has lost the confidence of her own party. She has lost the trust of an increasingly street-wise, intelligent electorate. Her possible deal with the DUP could also threaten national security.
Another Election is the only way out of a deep hole which Theresa May has dug for herself and her party.
Another election is the only way we, as a country and as a people, can avoid falling into that deep hole.